Here is a
compact case study of how junk information on climate is produced by a vested
interest to suit its own ends and taken up by others for theirs. How easy would it be for this to get into a
school textbook? Is it just a matter of
time?
“Guzman ... cites an estimate that the annual global
death toll already sparked by climate change is 300,000.”
Note the alarmism in the book’s cover. A sure sign of trash to come when the book is
about climate.
The reviewer is not totally bowled over, managing this in an otherwise gushing review:
“One possible peeve is that he lashes climate deniers for
lacking expertise when he himself is a Berkeley,
California, legal scholar. An
unkind critic might say that is rich, even hypocritical.”
Eschenbach describes how he decided to try to track down the
source of this claim of 300,000 deaths each year due to ‘climate change’.
He
finds that Guzman refers the claim to Kofi Annan, and follows that
through to find that Annan has his own foundation in place, a foundation that
produced a report in which the statistic was used:
“Finally, on page 9, we find the following explanation of where they get the
three hundred thousand deaths number:
'This estimate is derived by
attributing a 40 percent proportion of the increase in the number of
weather-related disasters from 1980 to current to climate change.'
Now wait just one cotton-pickin’ minute right there. They are saying that
the three hundred thousand is only forty percent of the
increase in
people killed annually by the weather since 1980?”
As Eschenbach immediately notes, “That’s hogwash”, and he goes on to explain
why.
Further into the report, he discovers an organisation notorious for climate
alarmism,
Munich Re:
“So just what is Kofi Annan’s pet foundation using as their authority for
the 40% claim and the other numbers? Further reading brings us to this one
(emphasis mine):
'The 40 percent proportion is based on
an analysis of data provided by Munich Re on the past trend of
weather-related disasters, as compared to geophysical (i.e. non climate change
related) disasters over time.5 It compares well to a 2009 scientific
estimate of the attribution of climate change to droughts.11 It is
assumed that the 40 percent increase due to climate change based on frequency
of disasters can be applied as an approximation for the number of people
seriously affected and deaths.'
Munich Re???
They got their numbers from Munich Re? They’re trusting a dang insurance
company? That’s what we find way down at the bottom of the edifice of bogus
claims? An insurance company that makes more money if people are very, very
afraid.”
Eschenbach is rightly shocked.
He
goes on to summarise:
"• Munich Re pulled some hugely improbable climate death numbers out of their
corporate fundamental orifice, numbers that are clearly designed to help them
sell insurance. They have no relationship to reality.
• These bogus numbers were then swallowed hook, line and sinker, and
regurgitated in a report issued by Kofi Annan’s pet foundation.
• The report was then quoted by Kofi Annan.
• Kofi Annan was then quoted by Guzman
• Guzman was then quoted by the South China Morning Post.
And there we have the impeccable pedigree and provenance of the claim of
300,000 dead from climate change every year … garbage top to bottom.”
Well done Willis Eschenbach.
He has
exposed a piece of irresponsible nonsense that may yet appear in school
textbooks in years to come.
Teachers may
like to emulate Eschenbach by tracking back from the most scary claims about climate
in their current textbooks.
Or give these
as project tasks to their more able pupils.
They might learn something about climate corruption that could help
protect them from further propaganda.
Meantime, we can all be on the look-out for that 300k surfacing again.
Note added 5 March 2013. Ben Pile was on to this sort of nonsense, and how pernicious it can be, way back in 2009:
http://www.climate-resistance.org/2009/06/the-age-of-the-age-of-stupid.html