Why is there so much preoccupation with atmospheric CO2 concentrations and reducing anthropogenic CO2 emissions when it is well documented in the peer-reviewed scientific literature that the CO2 contribution to the overall greenhouse effect is so weak that it can be easily supplanted by small changes in clouds and water vapor, or natural climate-changing constituents?


Thursday, 4 April 2013

Climate Teachers: have you seen any of this absurd assurance in your curricula?

The gap between reality and the glib assurances of those choosing to believe in a CO2-driven climate crisis is perhaps most apparent when they cannot resist making verifiable predictions. 

They told us the snows of Kilimanjaro were disappearing because of ‘global warming’, but they came back.  They told us the Himalayan glaciers would be gone by 2035, but there is no sign of that even beginning to happen.  They told us our winters in Europe would be warmer, that snow would be a thing of the past.  More recently, that awful centre of climate delusion, the UK Met Office, advised that this April was likely to be drier than usual.  It broke records for wetness.  Well the list of assured foolishness is long.  

Pierre Gosselin and a correspondent called Jimbo have started compiling a list of just the warmer winter follies.  Here are the first half dozen of a list which currently stands at 48 in total:

Failed winter climate predictions

(The first 33 concern mostly Germany and Central Europe)
1. “Due to global warming, the coming winters in the local regions will become milder.”
Stefan Rahmstorf, Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, University of Potsdam
, 8 Feb 2006
2. “Milder winters, drier summers: Climate study shows a need to adapt in Saxony Anhalt.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Press Release, 10 Jan 2010.
3. “More heat waves, no snow in the winter“ … “Climate models… over 20 times more precise than the UN IPCC global models. In no other country do we have more precise calculations of climate consequences. They should form the basis for political planning. … Temperatures in the wintertime will rise the most … there will be less cold air coming to Central Europe from the east. …In the Alps winters will be 2°C warmer already between 2021 and 2050.”
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 2 Sept 2008.
4. “The new Germany will be characterized by dry-hot summers and warm-wet winters.“
Wilhelm Gerstengarbe and Peter Werner, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), 2 March 2007
5. “Clear climate trends are seen from the computer simulations. Foremost the winter months will be warmer all over Germany. Depending of CO2 emissions, temperatures will rise by up to 4°C, in the Alps by up to 5°C.” Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 7 Dec 2009.
6. “In summer under certain conditions the scientists reckon with a complete melting of the Arctic sea ice. For Europe we expect an increase in drier and warmer summers. Winters on the other hand will be warmer and wetter.”
Erich Roeckner, Max Planck Institute, 29 Sept 2005.
Readers not living in Europe might like to note we have had record-breaking levels of cold and of snow here this winter, and we have not exactly had shortages of snow in other recent ones.

Has anything like that level of assurance got into your climate curriculum.  If so, you might like to do some background checks on the sources, and some reality checks with recent data.  There are a lot of not very credible, and not very creditable, ‘authorities’ in this area.

Have any such forecasts got into your curriculum?  If so, rejoice.  You can use them as examples to undermine the credibility of the shoddy, shameful business of climate scaremongering in schools.  The Emperors of CO2 Catastrophe have no clothes.  None at all.  The sooner your pupils realise that, the better.

If you live in England, you might well use some of this to illustrate why curricula for children should not include 'climate change', nor 'sustainability', both being codewords for the placing of political and psychological pressures on the young first through scaremongering, and through them, on to their parents through moral blackmail.  You have until 16th April to respond to a UK government invitation to comment on new guidelines for under-14 curricula.  They look like a step in the right direction.

Note added later on 4th.  Someone has compiled a descriptive history of British winters from 1616 to 2011: http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=winter-history;sess= .  Paul Homewood presents evidence of recent winters being cooler than average: http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/03/23/trend-to-colder-winters-continues-in-uk/

Note added 17th April, 2014  Pierre continues to track the foolishness by comparing it with reality.  See this post on record snow levels in the States: http://notrickszone.com/2014/04/16/bastardi-detroit-sets-all-time-record-snowy-winter-5-of-the-snowiest-winters-occurred-in-last-11-years/

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